What are Eric Barlow's chances of winning the 2026 Wyoming governor race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Eric Barlow a 97% chance (Kalshi 97%, Polymarket 97%).

Republican · WY

Eric Barlow

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Eric Barlow (Republican) a 97% chance of winning the 2026 Wyoming governor race (Kalshi 97%, Polymarket 97%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 Wyoming governor race	97%	97%	97%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Social buzz

471 interactions with posts about Eric Barlow in the last 24 hours from 2 people; 95% of posts read as positive, up 932% on last week.

Wyoming has had a remarkable run of non-crazy, moderate governors, considering it's literally the reddest state in the country. Freudenthal (a Democrat) → Matt Mead (very moderate) → Mark Gordon (moderate) → Eric Barlow Hunter📈🌈📊 · tweet

Social data from LunarCrush. Posts are what people are saying, not verified facts.

Running against

Kenneth Casner3%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.