What are Gerald Malloy's chances of winning the 2026 VT-AL House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Gerald Malloy a 1% chance (Kalshi 1%, Polymarket 1%).

How much money has Gerald Malloy raised?

Gerald Malloy's campaign has raised $58K and has $20K cash on hand, through July 23, 2026, according to the FEC.

Republican · VT

Gerald Malloy

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Gerald Malloy (Republican) a 1% chance of winning the 2026 VT-AL House race (Kalshi 1%, Polymarket 1%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 VT-AL House race	1%	1%	1%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $58K
Spent: $39K
Cash on hand: $20K
Outside groups for: $0
Outside groups against: $0

Through July 23, 2026. $36K from individuals, $0 from PACs, $5K of the candidate's own money. FEC filings for Gerald Malloy →

Running against

Becca Balint99%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.