Democrat · TX
Gina Hinojosa
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Gina Hinojosa (Democrat) a 26% chance of winning the 2026 Texas governor race (Kalshi 26%, Polymarket 27%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Texas governor race | 26% | 26% | 27% | — |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Polls
In the 2026 Texas governor race, the Parlay polling average has Gina Hinojosa at 46% against Greg Abbott at 48%, from 13 polls (newest ended 2026-10-01).
Social buzz
5.7M interactions with posts about Gina Hinojosa in the last 24 hours from 525 people; 51% of posts read as positive, up 12% on last week.
- Willie Nelson endorses ActBlue candidate Gina Hinojosa for Texas governor. Critics call her an “extreme liberal.” She voted against Republican bills restricting gender-affirming care and transgender participation in sc Clerpatriot · tweet
- #TexasGovernor NYT: Mark Rios, a 38-year-old Republican from Dallas, said he is supporting Ms. Hinojosa because he wants a fresh pair of eyes in office. He said he supported Trump in three elections but has seen higher Politics & Poll Tracker 📡 · tweet
- I honestly don’t see the difference between Gina Hinojosa and Greg Abbott. They both will destroy Texas. Just look at what Abbott has done over the last dozen years. They both serve the same master. Merissa Hansen · tweet
Social data from LunarCrush. Posts are what people are saying, not verified facts.
Running against
- Greg Abbott74%
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
