Republican · TX
Greg Abbott
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Greg Abbott (Republican) a 0% chance of winning the 2028 Republican presidential nomination (Kalshi 1%, Polymarket 0%). Greg Abbott also appears in 1 other market below.
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2028 Republican presidential nomination | 0% | 1% | 0% | — |
| 2026 Texas governor race | 74% | 74% | 73% | ▼ 2¢ |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Polls
In the 2026 Texas governor race, the Parlay polling average has Greg Abbott at 48% against Gina Hinojosa at 46%, from 13 polls (newest ended 2026-10-01).
Social buzz
4.7M interactions with posts about Greg Abbott in the last 24 hours from 709 people; 45% of posts read as positive, up 10% on last week.
- If Abbott has a 76% chance of winning, how does Paxton only have a 37% chance. You’re telling me Abbott voters will cross over to vote Talarico… No Way! Go big on @kenpaxton Grant Stinchfield · tweet
- 76% chance that Republican Governor Greg Abbott wins re-election in Texas Kalshi Politics · tweet
- I honestly don’t see the difference between Gina Hinojosa and Greg Abbott. They both will destroy Texas. Just look at what Abbott has done over the last dozen years. They both serve the same master. Merissa Hansen · tweet
Social data from LunarCrush. Posts are what people are saying, not verified facts.
Running against
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
