What are Gwen Moore's chances of winning the 2026 WI-04 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Gwen Moore a 99% chance (Kalshi 99%, Polymarket 99%).

How much money has Gwen Moore raised?

Gwen Moore's campaign has raised $1.1M and has $29K cash on hand, through July 22, 2026, according to the FEC.

Democrat · WI

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Gwen Moore (Democrat) a 99% chance of winning the 2026 WI-04 House race (Kalshi 99%, Polymarket 99%).

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 WI-04 House race	99%	99%	99%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Through July 22, 2026. $381K from individuals, $683K from PACs. FEC filings for Gwen S Moore →

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.