What are Hal Rogers's chances of winning the 2026 KY-05 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Hal Rogers a 97% chance (Kalshi 98%, Polymarket 97%).

How much money has Hal Rogers raised?

Hal Rogers's campaign has raised $850K and has $875K cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Republican · KY

Hal Rogers

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Hal Rogers (Republican) a 97% chance of winning the 2026 KY-05 House race (Kalshi 98%, Polymarket 97%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 KY-05 House race	97%	98%	97%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $850K
Spent: $946K
Cash on hand: $875K
Outside groups for: $0
Outside groups against: $0

Through June 30, 2026. $403K from individuals, $314K from PACs. FEC filings for Harold Dallas Rogers →

Running against

Ned Pillersdorf3%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.