Democrat · KY
Ned Pillersdorf
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Ned Pillersdorf (Democrat) a 3% chance of winning the 2026 KY-05 House race (Kalshi 3%, Polymarket 4%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 KY-05 House race | 3% | 3% | 4% | — |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Campaign money
- Raised
- $182K
- Spent
- $91K
- Cash on hand
- $91K
- Outside groups for
- $0
- Outside groups against
- $0
Through June 30, 2026. $119K from individuals, $250 from PACs, $63K of the candidate's own money. FEC filings for Ned Pillersdorf →
Running against
- Hal Rogers97%
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.