Republican · NY
Jacqueline Auringer
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Jacqueline Auringer (Republican) a 5% chance of winning the 2026 NY-18 House race (Kalshi 5%, Polymarket 5%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 NY-18 House race | 5% | 5% | 5% | — |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Campaign money
- Raised
- $90K
- Spent
- $28K
- Cash on hand
- $61K
- Outside groups for
- $0
- Outside groups against
- $0
Through June 30, 2026. $81K from individuals, $9K from PACs. FEC filings for Jackie Mary Auringer →
Polls
In the 2026 NY-18 House race, the Parlay polling average has Jacqueline Auringer at 39% against Pat Ryan at 53%, from 1 polls (newest ended 2026-07-26).
Running against
- Pat Ryan95%
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
