Democrat · VA
Jennifer McClellan
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Jennifer McClellan (Democrat) a 98% chance of winning the 2026 VA-04 House race (Kalshi 97%, Polymarket 98%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 VA-04 House race | 98% | 97% | 98% | — |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Campaign money
- Raised
- $1.1M
- Spent
- $992K
- Cash on hand
- $197K
- Outside groups for
- $0
- Outside groups against
- $0
Through July 15, 2026. $526K from individuals, $608K from PACs. FEC filings for Jennifer McClellan →
Running against
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
