Republican · VA
Robert Murray
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Robert Murray (Republican) a 2% chance of winning the 2026 VA-04 House race (Kalshi 3%, Polymarket 2%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 VA-04 House race | 2% | 3% | 2% | — |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Running against
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
