What are Jim Desmond's chances of winning the 2026 CA-48 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Jim Desmond a 9% chance (Kalshi 10%, Polymarket 9%).

How much money has Jim Desmond raised?

Jim Desmond's campaign has raised $2.3M and has $1.2M cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Republican · CA

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Jim Desmond (Republican) a 9% chance of winning the 2026 CA-48 House race (Kalshi 10%, Polymarket 9%).

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 CA-48 House race	9%	10%	9%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Through June 30, 2026. $2.0M from individuals, $145K from PACs. FEC filings for Jim Desmond →

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.