Democrat · CA

Marni von Wilpert

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Marni von Wilpert (Democrat) a 91% chance of winning the 2026 CA-48 House race (Kalshi 91%, Polymarket 91%).

Odds in every market

MarketChanceKalshiPolymarket24h
2026 CA-48 House race91%91%91%—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised
$2.2M
Spent
$1.3M
Cash on hand
$825K
Outside groups for
$1.9M
Outside groups against
$825K

Through June 30, 2026. $1.7M from individuals, $441K from PACs, $2K of the candidate's own money. FEC filings for Marni Von Wilpert →

Running against

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

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