What are Jim Himes's chances of winning the 2026 CT-04 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Jim Himes a 98% chance (Kalshi 97%, Polymarket 99%).

How much money has Jim Himes raised?

Jim Himes's campaign has raised $1.4M and has $2.5M cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Democrat · CT

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Jim Himes (Democrat) a 98% chance of winning the 2026 CT-04 House race (Kalshi 97%, Polymarket 99%).

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 CT-04 House race	98%	97%	99%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Through June 30, 2026. $417K from individuals, $831K from PACs. FEC filings for Jim Himes →

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.