What are Jim Schwartzel's chances of winning the 2026 FL-19 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Jim Schwartzel a 94% chance (Kalshi 94%, Polymarket 95%).

How much money has Jim Schwartzel raised?

Jim Schwartzel's campaign has raised $2.1M and has $182K cash on hand, through July 29, 2026, according to the FEC.

Republican · FL

Jim Schwartzel

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Jim Schwartzel (Republican) a 94% chance of winning the 2026 FL-19 House race (Kalshi 94%, Polymarket 95%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 FL-19 House race	94%	94%	95%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $2.1M
Spent: $1.9M
Cash on hand: $182K
Outside groups for: $0
Outside groups against: $48K

Through July 29, 2026. $1.0M from individuals, $10K from PACs, $1.1M of the candidate's own money. FEC filings for Jim Schwartzel →

Running against

Victor Arias6%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.