What are Joe Males's chances of winning the 2026 CA-25 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Joe Males a 4% chance (Kalshi 5%, Polymarket 4%).

How much money has Joe Males raised?

Joe Males's campaign has raised $936K and has $15K cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Republican · CA

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Joe Males (Republican) a 4% chance of winning the 2026 CA-25 House race (Kalshi 5%, Polymarket 4%).

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 CA-25 House race	4%	5%	4%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Through June 30, 2026. $880K from individuals, $450 from PACs. FEC filings for Joe Males →

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.