What are Raul Ruiz's chances of winning the 2026 CA-25 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Raul Ruiz a 96% chance (Kalshi 95%, Polymarket 96%).

How much money has Raul Ruiz raised?

Raul Ruiz's campaign has raised $2.1M and has $2.6M cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Democrat · CA

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Raul Ruiz (Democrat) a 96% chance of winning the 2026 CA-25 House race (Kalshi 95%, Polymarket 96%).

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 CA-25 House race	96%	95%	96%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Through June 30, 2026. $1.1M from individuals, $969K from PACs. FEC filings for Raul Ruiz →

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.