What are John Carter's chances of winning the 2026 TX-31 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give John Carter a 94% chance (Kalshi 93%, Polymarket 96%).

How much money has John Carter raised?

John Carter's campaign has raised $1.4M and has $171K cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Republican · TX

John Carter

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give John Carter (Republican) a 94% chance of winning the 2026 TX-31 House race (Kalshi 93%, Polymarket 96%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 TX-31 House race	94%	93%	96%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $1.4M
Spent: $1.3M
Cash on hand: $171K
Outside groups for: $55K
Outside groups against: $0

Through June 30, 2026. $407K from individuals, $482K from PACs. FEC filings for John R Rep. Carter →

Running against

Justin Early6%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.