What are Justin Early's chances of winning the 2026 TX-31 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Justin Early a 5% chance (Kalshi 6%, Polymarket 5%).

How much money has Justin Early raised?

Justin Early's campaign has raised $124K and has $17K cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Democrat · TX

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Justin Early (Democrat) a 5% chance of winning the 2026 TX-31 House race (Kalshi 6%, Polymarket 5%).

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 TX-31 House race	5%	6%	5%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Through June 30, 2026. $74K from individuals, $7K from PACs, $43K of the candidate's own money. FEC filings for Justin Early →

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.