Republican · MI
John James
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give John James (Republican) a 6% chance of winning the 2026 Michigan governor race (Kalshi 7%, Polymarket 5%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Michigan governor race | 6% | 7% | 5% | — |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Polls
In the 2026 Michigan governor race, the Parlay polling average has John James at 41% against Jocelyn Benson at 50%, from 11 polls (newest ended 2026-09-28).
Social buzz
407K interactions with posts about John James in the last 24 hours from 219 people; 61% of posts read as positive, up 31% on last week.
- Gov. candidate John James (R) says there is racial bias in healthcare system, argues Democrats have done nothing about Michigan’s maternal mortality rate: “This crisis is not evenly distributed. Black women in Michigan a Sam Robinson · tweet
- #MichiganGovernor The Detroit News: John James removes references to Trump on his campaign website Politics & Poll Tracker 📡 · tweet
- The John James for governor campaign released a video earlier this year touting his support from President Trump. It's no longer available on YouTube. The Detroit News · tweet
Social data from LunarCrush. Posts are what people are saying, not verified facts.
Recent headlines
Running against
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.