What are John McBride's chances of winning the 2026 CA-09 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give John McBride a 3% chance (Kalshi 3%, Polymarket 3%).

How much money has John McBride raised?

John McBride's campaign has raised $52K and has $19K cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Republican · CA

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give John McBride (Republican) a 3% chance of winning the 2026 CA-09 House race (Kalshi 3%, Polymarket 3%).

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 CA-09 House race	3%	3%	3%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Through June 30, 2026. $10K from individuals, $20K from PACs. FEC filings for John McBride →

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.