Democrat · CA
Josh Harder
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Josh Harder (Democrat) a 97% chance of winning the 2026 CA-09 House race (Kalshi 97%, Polymarket 97%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 CA-09 House race | 97% | 97% | 97% | — |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Campaign money
- Raised
- $4.1M
- Spent
- $1.0M
- Cash on hand
- $4.7M
- Outside groups for
- $0
- Outside groups against
- $0
Through June 30, 2026. $2.9M from individuals, $507K from PACs. FEC filings for Josh Harder →
Running against
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
