What are John Vincent's chances of winning the 2026 SC-07 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give John Vincent a 5% chance (Kalshi 6%, Polymarket 5%).

How much money has John Vincent raised?

John Vincent's campaign has raised $297K and has $62K cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Democrat · SC

John Vincent

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give John Vincent (Democrat) a 5% chance of winning the 2026 SC-07 House race (Kalshi 6%, Polymarket 5%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 SC-07 House race	5%	6%	5%	▼ 1¢

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $297K
Spent: $235K
Cash on hand: $62K
Outside groups for: $0
Outside groups against: $0

Through June 30, 2026. $282K from individuals, $4K from PACs, $11K of the candidate's own money. FEC filings for John Gregory Vincent →

Polls

In the 2026 SC-07 House race, the Parlay polling average has John Vincent at 37% against Russell Fry at 41%, from 1 polls (newest ended 2026-07-28).

Running against

Russell Fry95%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.