What are Russell Fry's chances of winning the 2026 SC-07 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Russell Fry a 94% chance (Kalshi 93%, Polymarket 96%).

How much money has Russell Fry raised?

Russell Fry's campaign has raised $1.7M and has $1.0M cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Republican · SC

Russell Fry

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Russell Fry (Republican) a 94% chance of winning the 2026 SC-07 House race (Kalshi 93%, Polymarket 96%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 SC-07 House race	94%	93%	96%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $1.7M
Spent: $1.2M
Cash on hand: $1.0M
Outside groups for: $0
Outside groups against: $0

Through June 30, 2026. $774K from individuals, $698K from PACs. FEC filings for Russell Fry →

Polls

In the 2026 SC-07 House race, the Parlay polling average has Russell Fry at 41% against John Vincent at 37%, from 1 polls (newest ended 2026-07-28).

Running against

John Vincent6%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.