Democrat · PA
Josh Shapiro
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Josh Shapiro (Democrat) a 6% chance of winning the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination (Kalshi 5%, Polymarket 7%). Josh Shapiro also appears in 2 other markets below.
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2028 Democratic presidential nomination | 6% | 5% | 7% | — |
| 2028 presidential election | 3% | 3% | 3% | — |
| 2026 Pennsylvania governor race | 97% | 97% | 97% | — |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Polls
In the 2026 Pennsylvania governor race, the Parlay polling average has Josh Shapiro at 56% against Stacy Garrity at 32%, from 3 polls (newest ended 2026-09-22).
Social buzz
537K interactions with posts about Josh Shapiro in the last 24 hours from 251 people; 70% of posts read as positive, down 8% on last week.
- Silver Bulletin’s Gubernatorial Forecast (Chance of winning) PENNSYLVANIA 🟦 Josh Shapiro: 100% 🟥 Stacy Garrity: 0% —— IOWA 🟦 Rob Sand: 94% → (Flip) 🟥 Zach Lahn: 6% —— OHIO 🟦 Amy Acton: 77% → (Flip) 🟥 V. Ramaswamy: 23% — InteractivePolls · tweet
- Former NBA player Charles Barkley says he’s worried that anti-semitism would hurt Josh Shapiro’s chances if he runs for president in 2028 “I’m worried about the anti-semitism that’s rampant in this country right now.” Politics & Poll Tracker 📡 · tweet
- Former NBA player Charles Barkley calls Josh Shapiro his "favorite 2028 Democrat" Politics & Poll Tracker 📡 · tweet
Social data from LunarCrush. Posts are what people are saying, not verified facts.
Running against
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
