What are Justin Wagner's chances of winning the 2026 PA-16 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Justin Wagner a 7% chance (Kalshi 7%, Polymarket 6%).

How much money has Justin Wagner raised?

Justin Wagner's campaign has raised $67K and has $38K cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Democrat · PA

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Justin Wagner (Democrat) a 7% chance of winning the 2026 PA-16 House race (Kalshi 7%, Polymarket 6%).

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 PA-16 House race	7%	7%	6%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Through June 30, 2026. $66K from individuals, $0 from PACs. FEC filings for Justin Wagner →

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.