Republican · PA
Mike Kelly
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Mike Kelly (Republican) a 4% chance of winning the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination (Kalshi 4%, Polymarket 3%). Mike Kelly also appears in 2 other markets below.
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2028 Democratic presidential nomination | 4% | 4% | 3% | — |
| 2028 presidential election | 2% | 3% | 1% | — |
| 2026 PA-16 House race | 93% | 93% | 94% | — |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Campaign money
- Raised
- $1.2M
- Spent
- $882K
- Cash on hand
- $1.3M
- Outside groups for
- $0
- Outside groups against
- $0
Through June 30, 2026. $290K from individuals, $875K from PACs. FEC filings for George J Kelly Jr. →
Running against
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
