Democrat · FL
Kathy Castor
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Kathy Castor (Democrat) a 65% chance of winning the 2026 FL-14 House race (Kalshi 66%, Polymarket 65%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 FL-14 House race | 65% | 66% | 65% | — |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Campaign money
- Raised
- $2.3M
- Spent
- $820K
- Cash on hand
- $1.7M
- Outside groups for
- $528K
- Outside groups against
- $4.2M
Through July 29, 2026. $1.5M from individuals, $877K from PACs. FEC filings for Kathy Castor →
Polls
In the 2026 FL-14 House race, the Parlay polling average has Kathy Castor at 46% against Mike Beltran at 38%, from 1 polls (newest ended 2026-07-15).
Social buzz
14K interactions with posts about Kathy Castor in the last 24 hours from 23 people; 59% of posts read as positive, down 20% on last week.
Social data from LunarCrush. Posts are what people are saying, not verified facts.
Running against
- Mike Beltran35%
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
