Republican · FL

Mike Beltran

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Mike Beltran (Republican) a 35% chance of winning the 2026 FL-14 House race (Kalshi 34%, Polymarket 35%).

Odds in every market

MarketChanceKalshiPolymarket24h
2026 FL-14 House race35%34%35%—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised
$2.1M
Spent
$177K
Cash on hand
$1.9M
Outside groups for
$774K
Outside groups against
$1.8M

Through July 29, 2026. $103K from individuals, $0 from PACs, $2.0M of the candidate's own money. FEC filings for Mike Beltran →

Polls

In the 2026 FL-14 House race, the Parlay polling average has Mike Beltran at 38% against Kathy Castor at 46%, from 1 polls (newest ended 2026-07-15).

Social buzz

16K interactions with posts about Mike Beltran in the last 24 hours from 23 people; 66% of posts read as positive, up 97% on last week.

Social data from LunarCrush. Posts are what people are saying, not verified facts.

Running against

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

Data partnerLunarCrushThe Pulse, our social buzz and sentiment data, is powered by LunarCrush. How it works