Republican · FL
Mike Beltran
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Mike Beltran (Republican) a 35% chance of winning the 2026 FL-14 House race (Kalshi 34%, Polymarket 35%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 FL-14 House race | 35% | 34% | 35% | — |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Campaign money
- Raised
- $2.1M
- Spent
- $177K
- Cash on hand
- $1.9M
- Outside groups for
- $774K
- Outside groups against
- $1.8M
Through July 29, 2026. $103K from individuals, $0 from PACs, $2.0M of the candidate's own money. FEC filings for Mike Beltran →
Polls
In the 2026 FL-14 House race, the Parlay polling average has Mike Beltran at 38% against Kathy Castor at 46%, from 1 polls (newest ended 2026-07-15).
Social buzz
16K interactions with posts about Mike Beltran in the last 24 hours from 23 people; 66% of posts read as positive, up 97% on last week.
Social data from LunarCrush. Posts are what people are saying, not verified facts.
Running against
- Kathy Castor65%
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.