Democrat · AZ
Katie Hobbs
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Katie Hobbs (Democrat) a 90% chance of winning the 2026 Arizona governor race (Kalshi 89%, Polymarket 92%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Arizona governor race | 90% | 89% | 92% | — |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Polls
In the 2026 Arizona governor race, the Parlay polling average has Katie Hobbs at 46% against Andy Biggs at 39%, from 9 polls (newest ended 2026-08-19).
Social buzz
419K interactions with posts about Katie Hobbs in the last 24 hours from 223 people; 55% of posts read as positive, down 8% on last week.
- Dear Fellow Arizonans, A Governor that refuses to debate & defend her positions does NOT deserve to be rewarded with ANOTHER TERM! Katie Hobbs is depending on YOU NOT FINDING OUT WHAT A COMPLETE FAILURE HER 4 YEARS IN OF Rob Schneider 🇺🇸 · tweet
- Omg Rob Schneider as Katie Hobbs has me dying She refuses to show up and answer questions! Like why is Arizona now the worst ranked state for Public Schools Or how she lost hundreds of billions of gallons of water for A Tyler Bowyer · tweet
- Peoria is fired up to get out the vote for Hobbs-Giles! 30 days to go. Let’s go win big in the West Valley! Katie Hobbs · tweet
Social data from LunarCrush. Posts are what people are saying, not verified facts.
Running against
- Andy Biggs10%
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
