What are Kelly Kirschner's chances of winning the 2026 FL-16 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Kelly Kirschner a 16% chance (Kalshi 17%, Polymarket 16%).

How much money has Kelly Kirschner raised?

Kelly Kirschner's campaign has raised $297K and has $81K cash on hand, through July 29, 2026, according to the FEC.

Democrat · FL

Kelly Kirschner

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Kelly Kirschner (Democrat) a 16% chance of winning the 2026 FL-16 House race (Kalshi 17%, Polymarket 16%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 FL-16 House race	16%	17%	16%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $297K
Spent: $216K
Cash on hand: $81K
Outside groups for: $0
Outside groups against: $0

Through July 29, 2026. $296K from individuals, $0 from PACs. FEC filings for Kelly Kirschner →

Polls

In the 2026 FL-16 House race, the Parlay polling average has Kelly Kirschner at 40% against Sydney Gruters at 39%, from 1 polls (newest ended 2026-08-29).

Running against

Sydney Gruters84%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.