What are Sydney Gruters's chances of winning the 2026 FL-16 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Sydney Gruters a 84% chance (Kalshi 83%, Polymarket 84%).

How much money has Sydney Gruters raised?

Sydney Gruters's campaign has raised $1.1M and has $622K cash on hand, through July 29, 2026, according to the FEC.

Republican · FL

Sydney Gruters

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Sydney Gruters (Republican) a 84% chance of winning the 2026 FL-16 House race (Kalshi 83%, Polymarket 84%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 FL-16 House race	84%	83%	84%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $1.1M
Spent: $465K
Cash on hand: $622K
Outside groups for: $1.6M
Outside groups against: $0

Through July 29, 2026. $942K from individuals, $121K from PACs, $7K of the candidate's own money. FEC filings for Sydney Gruters →

Polls

In the 2026 FL-16 House race, the Parlay polling average has Sydney Gruters at 39% against Kelly Kirschner at 40%, from 1 polls (newest ended 2026-08-29).

Running against

Kelly Kirschner16%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.