What are Kelly Thompson's chances of winning the 2026 IN-03 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Kelly Thompson a 5% chance (Kalshi 6%, Polymarket 5%).

How much money has Kelly Thompson raised?

Kelly Thompson's campaign has raised $136K and has $6K cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Democrat · IN

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Kelly Thompson (Democrat) a 5% chance of winning the 2026 IN-03 House race (Kalshi 6%, Polymarket 5%).

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 IN-03 House race	5%	6%	5%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Through June 30, 2026. $118K from individuals, $0 from PACs, $18K of the candidate's own money. FEC filings for Kelly Elizabeth Thompson →

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.