What are Marlin Stutzman's chances of winning the 2026 IN-03 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Marlin Stutzman a 95% chance (Kalshi 95%, Polymarket 95%).

How much money has Marlin Stutzman raised?

Marlin Stutzman's campaign has raised $840K and has $102K cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Republican · IN

Marlin Stutzman

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Marlin Stutzman (Republican) a 95% chance of winning the 2026 IN-03 House race (Kalshi 95%, Polymarket 95%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 IN-03 House race	95%	95%	95%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $840K
Spent: $787K
Cash on hand: $102K
Outside groups for: $0
Outside groups against: $0

Through June 30, 2026. $364K from individuals, $368K from PACs. FEC filings for Marlin A Stutzman →

Running against

Kelly Thompson5%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.