What are Kevin Kiley's chances of winning the 2026 CA-06 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Kevin Kiley a 8% chance (Kalshi 8%).

How much money has Kevin Kiley raised?

Kevin Kiley's campaign has raised $3.0M and has $2.1M cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

independent · CA

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Kevin Kiley (independent) a 8% chance of winning the 2026 CA-06 House race (Kalshi 8%).

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 CA-06 House race	8%	8%	—	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Through June 30, 2026. $1.9M from individuals, $356K from PACs. FEC filings for Kevin Kiley →

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.