Democrat · CA

Richard Pan

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Richard Pan (Democrat) a 91% chance of winning the 2026 CA-06 House race (Kalshi 91%).

Odds in every market

MarketChanceKalshiPolymarket24h
2026 CA-06 House race91%91%——

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised
$1.1M
Spent
$739K
Cash on hand
$359K
Outside groups for
$1.4M
Outside groups against
$50K

Through June 30, 2026. $769K from individuals, $308K from PACs. FEC filings for Richard Pan →

Running against

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

Data partnerLunarCrushThe Pulse, our social buzz and sentiment data, is powered by LunarCrush. How it works