What are Laura Gillen's chances of winning the 2026 NY-04 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Laura Gillen a 90% chance (Kalshi 90%, Polymarket 89%).

How much money has Laura Gillen raised?

Laura Gillen's campaign has raised $5.1M and has $3.8M cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Democrat · NY

Laura Gillen

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Laura Gillen (Democrat) a 90% chance of winning the 2026 NY-04 House race (Kalshi 90%, Polymarket 89%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 NY-04 House race	90%	90%	89%	▲ 1¢

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $5.1M
Spent: $1.3M
Cash on hand: $3.8M
Outside groups for: $10K
Outside groups against: $96K

Through June 30, 2026. $3.0M from individuals, $1.0M from PACs. FEC filings for Laura Gillen →

Running against

Jeanine Driscoll10%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.