What are Lisa McClain's chances of winning the 2026 MI-09 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Lisa McClain a 96% chance (Kalshi 96%, Polymarket 96%).

How much money has Lisa McClain raised?

Lisa McClain's campaign has raised $5.2M and has $1.5M cash on hand, through July 15, 2026, according to the FEC.

Republican · MI

Lisa McClain

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Lisa McClain (Republican) a 96% chance of winning the 2026 MI-09 House race (Kalshi 96%, Polymarket 96%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 MI-09 House race	96%	96%	96%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $5.2M
Spent: $4.3M
Cash on hand: $1.5M
Outside groups for: $0
Outside groups against: $0

Through July 15, 2026. $2.7M from individuals, $1.5M from PACs. FEC filings for Lisa McClain →

Running against

Ray Pooley4%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.