What are Ray Pooley's chances of winning the 2026 MI-09 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Ray Pooley a 4% chance (Kalshi 4%, Polymarket 4%).

How much money has Ray Pooley raised?

Ray Pooley's campaign has raised $8K and has $5K cash on hand, through July 15, 2026, according to the FEC.

Democrat · MI

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Ray Pooley (Democrat) a 4% chance of winning the 2026 MI-09 House race (Kalshi 4%, Polymarket 4%).

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 MI-09 House race	4%	4%	4%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Through July 15, 2026. $8K from individuals, $0 from PACs. FEC filings for Steven Raymond Pooley →

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.