Republican · FL
Mario Díaz-Balart
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Mario Díaz-Balart (Republican) a 87% chance of winning the 2026 FL-26 House race (Kalshi 89%, Polymarket 86%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 FL-26 House race | 87% | 89% | 86% | ▲ 4¢ |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Campaign money
- Raised
- $2.1M
- Spent
- $1.3M
- Cash on hand
- $2.5M
- Outside groups for
- $0
- Outside groups against
- $0
Through July 29, 2026. $1.2M from individuals, $845K from PACs. FEC filings for Mario Diaz-Balart →
Running against
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
