What are Nicole Locklin's chances of winning the 2026 FL-26 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Nicole Locklin a 13% chance (Kalshi 11%, Polymarket 14%).

How much money has Nicole Locklin raised?

Nicole Locklin's campaign has raised $348K and has $199K cash on hand, through July 29, 2026, according to the FEC.

Democrat · FL

Nicole Locklin

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Nicole Locklin (Democrat) a 13% chance of winning the 2026 FL-26 House race (Kalshi 11%, Polymarket 14%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 FL-26 House race	13%	11%	14%	▲ 3¢

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $348K
Spent: $149K
Cash on hand: $199K
Outside groups for: $0
Outside groups against: $0

Through July 29, 2026. $97K from individuals, $0 from PACs, $251K of the candidate's own money. FEC filings for Nicole Locklin →

Running against

Mario Díaz-Balart87%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.