What are Mark Tedford's chances of winning the 2026 OK-01 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Mark Tedford a 95% chance (Kalshi 95%, Polymarket 95%).

How much money has Mark Tedford raised?

Mark Tedford's campaign has raised $1.8M and has $174K cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Republican · OK

Mark Tedford

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Mark Tedford (Republican) a 95% chance of winning the 2026 OK-01 House race (Kalshi 95%, Polymarket 95%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 OK-01 House race	95%	95%	95%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $1.8M
Spent: $1.6M
Cash on hand: $174K
Outside groups for: $95K
Outside groups against: $0

Through June 30, 2026. $402K from individuals, $61K from PACs, $1.3M of the candidate's own money. FEC filings for Mark Tedford →

Running against

John Croisant5%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.