What are Mary Allen's chances of winning the 2026 IN-08 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Mary Allen a 4% chance (Kalshi 5%, Polymarket 3%).

How much money has Mary Allen raised?

Mary Allen's campaign has raised $295K and has $179K cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Democrat · IN

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Mary Allen (Democrat) a 4% chance of winning the 2026 IN-08 House race (Kalshi 5%, Polymarket 3%).

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 IN-08 House race	4%	5%	3%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Through June 30, 2026. $269K from individuals, $6K from PACs, $2K of the candidate's own money. FEC filings for Mary Theresa Allen →

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.