What are Mary Miller's chances of winning the 2026 IL-15 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Mary Miller a 95% chance (Kalshi 95%, Polymarket 96%).

How much money has Mary Miller raised?

Mary Miller's campaign has raised $1.3M and has $810K cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Republican · IL

Mary Miller

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Mary Miller (Republican) a 95% chance of winning the 2026 IL-15 House race (Kalshi 95%, Polymarket 96%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 IL-15 House race	95%	95%	96%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $1.3M
Spent: $1.2M
Cash on hand: $810K
Outside groups for: $4K
Outside groups against: $2K

Through June 30, 2026. $1.2M from individuals, $145K from PACs. FEC filings for Mary Miller →

Running against

Jennifer Todd5%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.