What are Michael DeCillis's chances of winning the 2026 NY-11 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Michael DeCillis a 5% chance (Kalshi 6%, Polymarket 5%).

How much money has Michael DeCillis raised?

Michael DeCillis's campaign has raised $68K and has $35K cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Democrat · NY

Michael DeCillis

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Michael DeCillis (Democrat) a 5% chance of winning the 2026 NY-11 House race (Kalshi 6%, Polymarket 5%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 NY-11 House race	5%	6%	5%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $68K
Spent: $32K
Cash on hand: $35K
Outside groups for: $0
Outside groups against: $0

Through June 30, 2026. $68K from individuals, $0 from PACs. FEC filings for Michael Decillis →

Running against

Nicole Malliotakis95%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.