What are Nicole Malliotakis's chances of winning the 2026 NY-11 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Nicole Malliotakis a 95% chance (Kalshi 94%, Polymarket 95%).

How much money has Nicole Malliotakis raised?

Nicole Malliotakis's campaign has raised $2.8M and has $2.8M cash on hand, through June 30, 2026, according to the FEC.

Republican · NY

Nicole Malliotakis

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Nicole Malliotakis (Republican) a 95% chance of winning the 2026 NY-11 House race (Kalshi 94%, Polymarket 95%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 NY-11 House race	95%	94%	95%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $2.8M
Spent: $1.3M
Cash on hand: $2.8M
Outside groups for: $0
Outside groups against: $0

Through June 30, 2026. $1.1M from individuals, $1.1M from PACs. FEC filings for Nicole Malliotakis →

Running against

Michael DeCillis5%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.