What are Michaela Barnett's chances of winning the 2026 TN-02 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Michaela Barnett a 4% chance (Kalshi 5%, Polymarket 4%).

How much money has Michaela Barnett raised?

Michaela Barnett's campaign has raised $398K and has $56K cash on hand, through July 17, 2026, according to the FEC.

Democrat · TN

Michaela Barnett

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Michaela Barnett (Democrat) a 4% chance of winning the 2026 TN-02 House race (Kalshi 5%, Polymarket 4%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 TN-02 House race	4%	5%	4%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $398K
Spent: $341K
Cash on hand: $56K
Outside groups for: $0
Outside groups against: $0

Through July 17, 2026. $386K from individuals, $250 from PACs, $6K of the candidate's own money. FEC filings for Michaela Barnett →

Running against

Tim Burchett96%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.