What are Tim Burchett's chances of winning the 2026 TN-02 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Tim Burchett a 96% chance (Kalshi 95%, Polymarket 96%).

How much money has Tim Burchett raised?

Tim Burchett's campaign has raised $2.4M and has $967K cash on hand, through July 17, 2026, according to the FEC.

Republican · TN

Tim Burchett

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Tim Burchett (Republican) a 96% chance of winning the 2026 TN-02 House race (Kalshi 95%, Polymarket 96%).

Odds in every market

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 TN-02 House race	96%	95%	96%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Campaign money

Raised: $2.4M
Spent: $2.2M
Cash on hand: $967K
Outside groups for: $0
Outside groups against: $0

Through July 17, 2026. $2.2M from individuals, $142K from PACs. FEC filings for Tim Burchett →

Recent headlines

Rep. Burchett planning to block NYC socialist Chevalier from Congress after she claimed to use American flag as napkin New York Post · Oct 3

Running against

Michaela Barnett4%

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.