What are Mike Croley's chances of winning the 2026 TN-06 House race?

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Mike Croley a 5% chance (Kalshi 5%, Polymarket 6%).

How much money has Mike Croley raised?

Mike Croley's campaign has raised $35K and has $2K cash on hand, through July 17, 2026, according to the FEC.

Democrat · TN

As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Mike Croley (Democrat) a 5% chance of winning the 2026 TN-06 House race (Kalshi 5%, Polymarket 6%).

Market	Chance	Kalshi	Polymarket	24h
2026 TN-06 House race	5%	5%	6%	—

Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.

Through July 17, 2026. $35K from individuals, $0 from PACs. FEC filings for Mike Croley →

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.