Republican · UT
Mike Kennedy
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Mike Kennedy (Republican) a 95% chance of winning the 2026 UT-04 House race (Kalshi 94%, Polymarket 95%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 UT-04 House race | 95% | 94% | 95% | ▼ 3¢ |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Campaign money
- Raised
- $971K
- Spent
- $710K
- Cash on hand
- $387K
- Outside groups for
- $0
- Outside groups against
- $0
Through June 30, 2026. $430K from individuals, $494K from PACs. FEC filings for Mike Kennedy →
Polls
In the 2026 UT-04 House race, the Parlay polling average has Mike Kennedy at 42% against Jonny Larsen at 33%, from 1 polls (newest ended 2026-09-17).
Recent headlines
- Sen. Kennedy, 74, floats 2028 prez bid if ‘a bunch of goobers run’ — as he goes after Trump New York Post · Oct 4
- ‘Don’t Know’ Him: John Kennedy Does Not Say Yes When Asked If Ken Paxton ‘Has Character To Serve’ In Senate Daily Caller · Oct 4
- John Kennedy teases 2028 presidential run if ‘a bunch of goobers’ enter race Washington Examiner · Oct 4
Running against
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
