Republican · MI
Mike Rogers
As of October 5, 2026, prediction markets give Mike Rogers (Republican) a 28% chance of winning the 2026 Michigan Senate race (Kalshi 28%, Polymarket 27%).
Odds in every market
| Market | Chance | Kalshi | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Michigan Senate race | 28% | 28% | 27% | — |
Chance = this candidate's share of each market's prices, averaged across the exchanges that list it.
Campaign money
- Raised
- $10.9M
- Spent
- $6.7M
- Cash on hand
- $4.5M
- Outside groups for
- $28.5M
- Outside groups against
- $25.0M
Through July 15, 2026. $6.8M from individuals, $787K from PACs. FEC filings for Michael J Rogers →
Polls
In the 2026 Michigan Senate race, the Parlay polling average has Mike Rogers at 45% against Abdul El-Sayed at 48%, from 15 polls (newest ended 2026-09-30).
Social buzz
3.1M interactions with posts about Mike Rogers in the last 24 hours from 980 people; 67% of posts read as positive, down 46% on last week.
- BREAKING NEWS 10/04 MIKE ROGERS IRANIAN PLANT LIED THAT HE HAD FAMILY IN IRAN, HIS UNCLES AND AUNTS ARE ALL IN AMERICA. HE AL ACCUSES ABDUL ELSAYED OF TAKING TERRORIST MONEY WHICH ARE LIES #IRAN #USA #ISRAEL #ISLAM #MUSL Breaking News Bobby · tiktok-video
- Your friends, family, and neighbors are counting on you to vote this year. Don't want until the last minute to make a plan. Early voting begins on 10/24 and Election Day is on 11/3. Make your plan to vote Mike Rogers for America · tweet
- 2026 GOP Senate recruits (+some incumbents) tier list ELECTABILITY ONLY: S Tier: Susan Collins A Tier: John Sununu B Tier: Ashley Hinson, Ashley Moody C Tier: Mike Rogers, Jon Husted D Tier: Michael Whatley, Roger Marsha David · tweet
Social data from LunarCrush. Posts are what people are saying, not verified facts.
Running against
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
